Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
0 - 1
Udinese

Krunic (18')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereyra (62' pen.)
Perez (54'), Kabasele (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-2 AC Milan
Sunday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Cagliari
Wednesday, November 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

They may have lost to Inter, Juventus and PSG this season, but Milan have been beaten just twice in their last 25 games against teams sitting inside Serie A's bottom four. Winning 18 times during that period shows that the Rossoneri rarely struggle against Italy's lesser lights, so an ailing Udinese side are bound for defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Udinese
59.84% ( -0.14)	22.17% ( 0.07)	17.99% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.87% (

-0.19)

47.13% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.64% (

-0.17)

69.36% (

0.18)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66% (

-0.11)

15.34% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.89% (

-0.21)

44.11% (

0.21)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.06% (

-0.02)

39.94% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.41% (

-0.02)

76.59% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 59.83%

Udinese 17.99%

Draw 22.17%

AC Milan	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.83%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.17%	0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.99%