Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36

May 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre
1 - 2
PSG

Sinayoko (51')
Jubal (46')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mbappe (6', 8')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 1-0 Auxerre
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Auxerre 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Home may be where the heart is for Auxerre, but Pelissier's men were extremely fortunate to lose by just the one goal at Brest, and a more clinical side in PSG will no doubt make an equally passive performance pay. The reigning champions may have to wait a little longer before their customary coronation, but a routine success over AJA will leave them on the brink of glory at the very worst. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
15.17% ( -0.07)	19.77% ( -0.07)	65.05% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 52.65% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.35% (

0.16)

41.64% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.95% (

0.16)

64.04% (

-0.16)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.85% (

0.01)

40.14% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.22% (

0.01)

76.77% (

-0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.96% (

0.08)

12.03% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.48% (

0.17)

37.52% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 15.17%

Paris Saint-Germain 65.04%

Draw 19.77%

Auxerre	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 15.17%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.77%	0-2 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.61% Total : 65.04%