Ascoli

2 - 2

Bari

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Bari had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.