Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford |
65.56% ( -0.04) | 18.76% ( 0.02) | 15.67% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.2% ( -0.05) | 35.79% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.13% ( -0.06) | 57.87% ( 0.06) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.78% ( -0.03) | 10.22% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.47% ( -0.06) | 33.52% ( 0.06) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.17% ( -0.01) | 35.83% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.39% ( -0.01) | 72.6% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 4.07% Total : 65.56% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.76% | 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 15.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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