Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.12%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Salernitana |
71.86% ( 2.51) | 17.45% ( -1.39) | 10.69% ( -1.13) |
Both teams to score 47.14% ( 0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.03% ( 3.19) | 41.97% ( -3.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% ( 3.13) | 64.37% ( -3.13) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.66% ( 1.54) | 10.33% ( -1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.21% ( 3.4) | 33.79% ( -3.4) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.57% ( 0.03) | 47.42% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.19% ( 0.02) | 82.8% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.88) 3-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.35) 4-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.58) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.4) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.16) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.17% Total : 71.86% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.65) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.74) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.45% | 0-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.57% Total : 10.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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