Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Arouca |
62.96% ( -0.06) | 20.62% ( -0.23) | 16.42% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 52.71% ( 1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% ( 1.58) | 43.03% ( -1.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% ( 1.54) | 65.43% ( -1.55) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.95% ( 0.47) | 13.05% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.37% ( 0.96) | 39.62% ( -0.96) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.62% ( 1.33) | 39.37% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.92% ( 1.21) | 76.07% ( -1.22) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Arouca |
2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.95% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.62% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) Other @ 2% Total : 16.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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