Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lyon |
29.66% ( 0.48) | 26.33% ( 0) | 44% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 51.23% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.84% ( 0.21) | 53.16% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.27% ( 0.18) | 74.73% ( -0.18) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( 0.47) | 32.57% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.89% ( 0.52) | 69.11% ( -0.52) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( -0.14) | 24.02% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( -0.2) | 58.28% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |