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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Stevenage |
28.15% ( 0.04) | 27.9% ( 0.07) | 43.96% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 45.88% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.4% ( -0.22) | 59.59% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.07% ( -0.17) | 79.93% ( 0.17) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.82% ( -0.09) | 37.18% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.03% ( -0.09) | 73.97% ( 0.09) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( -0.16) | 26.96% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% ( -0.21) | 62.29% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.15% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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