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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Notts County |
41.65% ( 0.45) | 21.91% ( 0.28) | 36.44% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 69.52% ( -1.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.62% ( -1.57) | 30.38% ( 1.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.35% ( -1.9) | 51.65% ( 1.91) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.45% ( -0.47) | 15.55% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.51% ( -0.89) | 44.49% ( 0.9) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.32% ( -1.01) | 17.68% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.68% ( -1.78) | 48.32% ( 1.79) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) Other @ 4% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.14) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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