Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Parken

Denmark
3 - 1
Kazakhstan

Wind (36'), Skov (45+1', 48')
Christensen (23'), Kjaer (27')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vorogovskiy (58')
Alip (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Denmark and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions

Last Game: Finland 0-1 Denmark
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	6	7	13
2	Denmark	6	7	13
3	Finland	6	7	12
4	Kazakhstan	6	4	12
5	Northern Ireland	6	-4	3
6	San Marino	6	-21	0

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-0 N. Ireland
Sunday, September 10 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	6	7	13
2	Denmark	6	7	13
3	Finland	6	7	12
4	Kazakhstan	6	4	12
5	Northern Ireland	6	-4	3
6	San Marino	6	-21	0

We said: Denmark 2-0 Kazakhstan

Given the unpredictability of this group, there is a feeling that anything can happen in this fixture. Kazakhstan have won twice on their travels, yet they have not faced anyone of Denmark's quality and they could come up short on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 8.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
Denmark	Draw	Kazakhstan
75.67% ( 0.13)	15.64% ( -0.15)	8.68% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 45.42% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.14% (

0.77)

39.86% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.78% (

0.79)

62.22% (

-0.8)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.12% (

0.22)

8.88% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.62% (

0.53)

30.37% (

-0.53)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.84% (

0.55)

50.16% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.23% (

0.38)

84.77% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Denmark 75.66%

Kazakhstan 8.68%

Draw 15.64%

Denmark	Draw	Kazakhstan
2-0 @ 13.05% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.73% Total : 75.66%	1-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.64% Total : 15.64%	0-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 8.68%