Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Lazio |
28.04% ( 2.02) | 26.71% ( 1.08) | 45.25% ( -3.1) |
Both teams to score 49.15% ( -1.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.61% ( -2.94) | 55.39% ( 2.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.41% ( -2.47) | 76.59% ( 2.47) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.01% ( 0.06) | 34.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.27% ( 0.06) | 71.73% ( -0.06) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% ( -2.69) | 24.4% ( 2.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% ( -3.95) | 58.81% ( 3.95) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.99) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.04% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.93) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.55) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.33) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.32) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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