Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
2 - 1
Empoli

Cuni (58'), Ibrahimovic (74')
Barrenechea (34'), Jesus (42'), Lirola (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Caputo (86')
Gyasi (44'), Ranocchia (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 1-2 Frosinone
Thursday, November 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Atalanta
Monday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Frosinone 2-0 Empoli

Despite a recent shock win at Fiorentina, Empoli are unexpected to lay a finger on Frosinone, whose record at home points to a routine victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Empoli
49.59% ( 0.89)	24.66% ( 0.54)	25.75% ( -1.44)

Both teams to score 53.6% (

-3.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.29% (

-3.43)

48.71% (

3.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.18% (

-3.2)

70.82% (

3.2)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

-0.98)

19.67% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34% (

-1.63)

51.65% (

1.62)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.73% (

-2.94)

33.27% (

2.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.12% (

-3.38)

69.88% (

3.37)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 49.59%

Empoli 25.75%

Draw 24.66%

Frosinone	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 1.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.59%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.88) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.44) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.75%