Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 13, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
0 - 0
Torino

De Winter (43'), Malinovskyi (77'), Caricol (80')

Vlasic (16'), Juric (17'), Buongiorno (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Genoa
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 3-0 Napoli
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Although Torino tend to struggle for goals when away from home, last week's success should imbue their forwards with confidence. As a result, they can come close to taking three points back to Turin - but Gilardino's Genoa are not easily beaten at Marassi and can escape with a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Torino had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Torino
40.94% ( -0.17)	28.51% ( 0.01)	30.55% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 45.33% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.16% (

0.03)

60.84% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.13% (

0.02)

80.87% (

-0.02)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

-0.08)

29.19% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

-0.1)

65.14% (

0.11)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.02% (

0.14)

35.98% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.24% (

0.14)

72.76% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Genoa 40.94%

Torino 30.54%

Draw 28.51%

Genoa	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 12.93% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 40.94%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.51%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 30.54%