Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
4 - 1
Salernitana

Anderson (7', 35'), Vecino (14'), Isaksen (87')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Tchaouna (16')
Coulibaly (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Lazio
Saturday, April 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lazio 2-0 Salernitana

Despite Lazio's struggles in front of goal - since the 1994-95 season, 37 goals after 31 games outdo only 29 goals at this stage in 2009-10 - the Biancocelesti should secure the much-needed points in their continental chase. Tudor's men should make the most of playing lowly opposition and secure a win as a consequence to get back on track after a difficult 10 days. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.33%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Salernitana
69.12% ( -0.08)	19.9% ( 0.05)	10.99% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 40.52% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45% (

-0.14)

51.55% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.66% (

-0.12)

73.34% (

0.13)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.14% (

-0.06)

13.86% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.75% (

-0.13)

41.25% (

0.14)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.04% (

-0.03)

52.96% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.38% (

-0.02)

86.62% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Lazio 69.11%

Salernitana 10.99%

Draw 19.9%

Lazio	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 14.5% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 69.11%	1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 19.9%	0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.99%