Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Sep 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 0
Salernitana

Krstovic (6'), Espeto (90+8' pen.)
Kaba (30'), Banda (42'), Gonzalez (90+4'), D'Aversa (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lovato (17'), Legowski (76'), Bohinen (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Lecce
Sunday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Udinese
Monday, August 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lecce 2-2 Salernitana

As two likely contestants for mid-table safety meet, both can extend their unbeaten start to the season. Lecce and Salernitana have made some smart attacking acquisitions this summer, so a draw featuring goals at both ends could play out at Via del Mare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Salernitana
52.09% ( 1.06)	25.77% ( -0.13)	22.14% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 46.54% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.89% (

-0.36)

56.11% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.82% (

-0.3)

77.18% (

0.29)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4% (

0.3)

21.6% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.3% (

0.47)

54.69% (

-0.47)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.36% (

-1.13)

40.64% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.77% (

-1.03)

77.23% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Lecce 52.08%

Salernitana 22.14%

Draw 25.76%

Lecce	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.08%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.14%