Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
46.91% ( -0.04) | 25.21% ( -0.1) | 27.88% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.61% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.47% ( 0.49) | 49.53% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( 0.44) | 71.56% ( -0.44) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.87% ( 0.19) | 21.13% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.02% ( 0.29) | 53.98% ( -0.29) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.98% ( 0.36) | 32.02% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% ( 0.41) | 68.48% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |