Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 71.01%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 11.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Brest |
71.01% ( 0) | 17.96% ( 0) | 11.03% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 46.62% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.68% ( -0) | 43.31% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.29% ( -0) | 65.71% ( 0) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.08% ( -0) | 10.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.9% ( -0) | 35.09% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.33% ( -0.01) | 47.66% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.02% ( -0) | 82.98% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Brest |
2-0 @ 12.76% 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.46% 3-0 @ 9.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.22% 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 71.01% | 1-1 @ 8.54% 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.96% | 0-1 @ 3.86% 1-2 @ 3.16% 0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |