Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
We said: Metz 1-1 Le Havre
Metz are on a woeful run of form but got close to stopping the rot against title challengers Monaco last time out, and Boloni's men will be confident of earning a result in this one.
Le Havre have struggled on the road since their return to the top table of French football, but we expect that the visitors will collect a point for their efforts on Sunday.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 43.04% . A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.7%) . The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (8.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Metz Draw Le Havre 43.04% ( 0.34) 26.33% ( -0.05) 30.63% ( -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.73% ( 0.02)
47.26% ( 0.09) 52.74% ( -0.09)
25.63% ( 0.07) 74.37% ( -0.08)
75.69% ( 0.21) 24.31% ( -0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.3% ( 0.3) 58.69% ( -0.3)
68.34% ( -0.17) 31.65% ( 0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.93% ( -0.19) 68.07% ( 0.19)
Metz 43.03%
Le Havre 30.64%
Draw 26.32%
Metz Draw Le Havre 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.03% 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.64%
How you voted: Metz vs Le Havre
15
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:14:31
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