Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 2
Monaco

Ferri (19')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ouattara (52'), Fofana (65')
Singo (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Clermont
Saturday, May 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Monaco

While Monaco have not been all that stellar defensively, their attacking depth has carried them through this season, scoring the second-most goals in Ligue 1 (62) while being held off the scoresheet in only one away fixture. For as well as Montpellier have played lately, their lack of discipline in recent outings is a concern, and we believe the visitors will be able to take advantage of that on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.66%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
40.55% ( -0.01)	22.48% ( -0)	36.96% ( 0)

Both teams to score 67.33% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.75% (

-0)

33.24% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45%

55% (

-0)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.83% (

-0)

17.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.59% (

-0)

47.4%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.28%

18.71% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.92% (

50.08% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 40.55%

Monaco 36.96%

Draw 22.48%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.3% Total : 40.55%	1-1 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.3% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.48%	1-2 @ 7.95% 0-1 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.06% 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.96%