EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale0 - 3Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Wigan
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Port Vale 1-3 Middlesbrough
For the first time in their cup run, Port Vale will go up against a team from a higher division, and we think that the gulf in quality could help Middlesbrough claim a relatively comfortable victory to seal their place the semi-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Middlesbrough |
34.52% ( 0.08) | 24.69% ( -0) | 40.79% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.51% ( 0.03) | 44.49% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.14% ( 0.03) | 66.86% ( -0.03) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% ( 0.06) | 25.11% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.19% ( 0.09) | 59.81% ( -0.09) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.19% ( -0.03) | 21.81% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.97% ( -0.04) | 55.03% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale 34.52%
Middlesbrough 40.79%
Draw 24.68%
Port Vale | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.52% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.79% |
How you voted: Port Vale vs Middlesbrough
Port Vale
34.4%Draw
6.6%Middlesbrough
59.0%61
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-10 12:14:04
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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