Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 2
Brest

Asensio (38'), Kolo (45')
Hernandez (26'), Mbappe (53'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Barcola (90+2')
Barcola (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Camara (55'), Pereira Lage (80')
Lees-Melou (32'), Lala (53'), Brassier (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Orleans 1-4 PSG
Saturday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Trelissac 1-2 Brest
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Brest

In arguably their toughest test since the start of an incredible run of domestic results, PSG still have the quality to overcome this impressive Brest side, spearheaded by the relentless Mbappe in attack. Despite their sensational recent form, PSG are a class above, and Brest's superb run may well come to an end in the capital, but expect the visitors to put up a good fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brest had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Brest
61.33% ( 0.02)	20.98% ( -0.01)	17.69% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.21% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.63% (

0.02)

42.38% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.22% (

0.02)

64.78% (

-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.68% (

0.01)

13.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.82% (

0.02)

40.18% (

-0.02)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.54%

37.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.76% (

74.24% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 61.32%

Brest 17.69%

Draw 20.98%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Brest
2-0 @ 10.13% 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 61.32%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.98%	0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 17.69%