Coupe de France | Round of 16

Feb 7, 2024 at 8.10pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
Brest

Mbappe (34'), Pereira (37'), Ramos (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mounie (65')
Magnetti (14'), Brassier (60')
Brassier (69')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 PSG
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nice
Sunday, February 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Brest

Brest's performance against PSG in the league last month will give them tremendous confidence coming into this match, but it is difficult to back against the Parisians, especially on their home patch. We are expecting another solid performance by the visitors but fancy the 14-time winners of this competition to progress to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Brest
63.48% ( 0.4)	20.15% ( 0.11)	16.37% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 54.23% (

-1.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.03% (

-1.47)

40.97% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.63% (

-1.51)

63.37% (

1.52)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.73% (

-0.33)

12.27% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.98% (

-0.7)

38.02% (

0.7)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.82% (

-1.51)

38.18% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.05% (

-1.48)

74.95% (

1.49)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 63.48%

Brest 16.37%

Draw 20.15%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Brest
2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.62% Total : 63.48%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.15%	1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.37%