Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2024 at 4pm UK

Roazhon Park

Rennes
2 - 1
Montpellier

Terrier (3'), Kalimuendo (48' pen.)
Truffert (45+4'), Kalimuendo (53'), Yildirim (80'), Le Fee (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Savanier (73')
Sagnan (12'), Khazri (30'), Mincarelli (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-3 Rennes
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lille
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Rennes 3-1 Montpellier HSC

Rennes seem to have found their scoring touch while Montpellier are still searching for theirs, and we believe the visitors will have difficulty doing much except perhaps fending off Les Rennais for a period of time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rennes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rennes.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
46.9% ( 0.83)	24.35% ( -0.23)	28.74% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 57.05% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.7% (

0.68)

45.3% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.36% (

0.65)

67.64% (

-0.64)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

0.62)

19.42% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.74% (

1.01)

51.25% (

-1)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

-0.07)

29.19% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

-0.09)

65.14% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Rennes 46.9%

Montpellier HSC 28.75%

Draw 24.35%

Rennes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.9%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.4% Total : 28.75%