Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de la Route de Lorient

Rennes
3 - 1
Nantes

Bourigeaud (6' pen.), Doue (73'), Kalimuendo (90+7' pen.)
Assignon (55'), Bourigeaud (58'), Matic (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Chirivella (45')
Mollet (37'), Moutoussamy (58'), Douglas (60'), Chirivella (61'), Mohamed (77'), Castelletto (87')
Mohamed (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Rennes
Sunday, September 24 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 5-3 Lorient
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

A 3-0 win over Maccabi Haifa failed to inspire Rennes back into winning form in the league as another draw last weekend felt like one step backwards. Nantes' form has really picked up in recent weeks after a very sluggish start, and they may spring a minor surprise here against a Rennes side with a lot on their plate this week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Nantes
63.11% ( 0.17)	20.99% ( 0.05)	15.9% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 50.31% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.37% (

-0.64)

45.63% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.04% (

-0.61)

67.96% (

0.61)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.18% (

-0.15)

13.82% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.83% (

-0.3)

41.17% (

0.3)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.38% (

-0.68)

41.62% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.9% (

-0.6)

78.1% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Rennes 63.11%

Nantes 15.9%

Draw 20.99%

Rennes	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 63.11%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.99%	0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.9%