Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
33.66% ( 0.02) | 25.83% ( 0.02) | 40.5% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.2% ( -0.07) | 49.8% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.19% ( -0.06) | 71.8% ( 0.06) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( -0.02) | 28.17% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( -0.03) | 63.86% ( 0.03) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.71% ( -0.05) | 24.29% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.34% ( -0.06) | 58.66% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.66% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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