Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

Jun 2, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo
1 - 3
Fiorentina

Berardi (71' pen.)
Berardi (32'), Ruan (55'), Marchizza (90+2')
Ruan (81'), Rogerio (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cabral (46'), Saponara (79'), Gonzalez (83')
Terzic (7'), Ranieri (32'), Kouame (45'), Cabral (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sampdoria 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Roma
Saturday, May 27 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sassuolo 1-1 Fiorentina

Sassuolo will be looking to take advantage of the fact that Fiorentina will have their eyes elsewhere, but it is difficult to back the hosts at the moment due to their recent struggles. We are expecting the points to be shared on Friday, which both managers would likely accept if it were offered ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Fiorentina
23.01% ( -0.25)	23.12% ( -0.17)	53.88% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 55.64% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4% (

0.5)

44.6% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03% (

0.48)

66.97% (

-0.48)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.63% (

0.05)

33.37% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

0.06)

70% (

-0.06)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

0.33)

16.49% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.79% (

0.59)

46.22% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 23.01%

Fiorentina 53.88%

Draw 23.11%

Sassuolo	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 23.01%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.11%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.88%