Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Dec 10, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
2 - 1
Le Havre

Emegha (21'), Sylla (90+7')
Sissoko (26'), Perrin (40'), Delaine (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Salmier (49')
Salmier (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 1-1 Strasbourg
Thursday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 PSG
Sunday, December 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Le Havre

Strasbourg are enduring the longest winless run in the division but will have taken a bit of confidence from their late equaliser at Brest on Thursday. Le Havre have been a tough nut to crack on their travels since returning to the top table of French football, and we expect the visitors to earn a point at Stade de la Meinau this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Le Havre
41.27% ( 0.07)	27.73% ( -0.01)	31% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 47.67% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.01% (

0.03)

57.98% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.32% (

0.02)

78.68% (

-0.02)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36% (

0.05)

27.64% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82% (

0.06)

63.18% (

-0.06)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.88% (

-0.02)

34.12% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.19% (

-0.03)

70.81% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 41.26%

Le Havre 31%

Draw 27.73%

Strasbourg	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.26%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 31%