MX23RW : Wednesday, June 12 10:22:42| >> :60:485:485:
Sweden national football team
Women's World Cup | Round of 16
Aug 6, 2023 at 10am UK
AAMI Park
USA national football team

Sweden Women
0 - 0
USA Women


Asllani (49')
FT
(aet)

Ertz (119')
Sweden Women win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's World Cup clash between Sweden Women and USA Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Argentina Women 0-2 Sweden Women
Wednesday, August 2 at 8am in Women's World Cup

USA Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Portugal Women 0-0 USA Women
Tuesday, August 1 at 8am in Women's World Cup

We say: Sweden Women 2-1 USA Women

 There have been signs in the group stage that the USA's dominance at the Women's World Cup could be coming to an end, and we think that they the record winners will be eliminated by a Sweden side that have been in fine form at the tournament, having won all three of their matches, scoring nine goals and only conceding on just one occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for USA Women had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest USA Women win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%).

Result
Sweden WomenDrawUSA Women
48.09% (0.415 0.41) 25.25% (0.356 0.36) 26.66% (-0.769 -0.77)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-1.735 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (-1.99 -1.99)50.46% (1.991 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (-1.787 -1.79)72.39% (1.789 1.79)
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.629 -0.63)21% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (-0.993 -0.99)53.78% (0.994 0.99)
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (-1.652 -1.65)33.46% (1.654 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (-1.85 -1.85)70.09% (1.853 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Sweden Women 48.08%
    USA Women 26.66%
    Draw 25.24%
Sweden WomenDrawUSA Women
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.66 0.66)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.356 0.36)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.08%
1-1 @ 12% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.548 0.55)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 26.66%

How you voted: 1st Group G vs 2nd Group E

1st Group G
68.8%
Draw
9.4%
2nd Group E
21.9%
64
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2021 9.30am
Group Stage
Sweden Women
3-0
USA Women
Blackstenius (25', 55'), Hurtig (72')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Sweden Women
0-2
USA Women

Jakobsson (87')
Horan (3'), Andersson (50' og.)
O'Hara (59')
Jun 13, 2015 1am
Group Stage
USA Women
0-0
Sweden Women
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
 
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
 
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
 
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
 
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
 
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
 
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
 
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
 
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
 
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
 
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
 
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
 
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
 
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
 
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
 
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
 
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
 
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
 
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
 
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
 
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000
> European Championship 2024 overview


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!