Australian A-League | Gameweek 2

Oct 16, 2022 at 5am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
2 - 0
Adelaide United

Arzani (27'), Rose (57')
Arzani (28'), Skotadis (45'), Noone (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Goodwin (30'), Blackwood (45+4'), Kitto (59'), Van Der Saag (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-0 Macarthur
Saturday, October 8 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, October 9 at 3am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Adelaide United
34.41% ( 0.14)	24.33% ( 0.15)	41.26% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 59.81% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.16% (

-0.66)

42.83% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.76% (

-0.66)

65.23% (

0.66)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

-0.23)

24.39% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19% (

-0.33)

58.81% (

0.33)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11% (

-0.42)

20.88% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.41% (

-0.65)

53.59% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 34.41%

Adelaide United 41.26%

Draw 24.32%

Macarthur	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.41%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.26%