Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Jan 6, 2024 at 10.45am UK

nib Stadium

Perth Glory
2 - 3
Victory

Taggart (20'), Majekodunmi (89')
Kamau (34'), Taggart (50')
Kamau (46')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Machach (42'), Adams (82'), Folami (90+6')
Adams (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 4-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne Victory
26.98% ( 0.38)	22.73% ( 0.2)	50.29% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 61.29% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.92% (

-0.62)

39.08% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.59% (

-0.66)

61.41% (

0.66)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75% (

-0.06)

27.25% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32% (

-0.08)

62.68% (

0.07)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.24% (

-0.43)

15.76% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.13% (

-0.79)

44.87% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 26.98%

Melbourne Victory 50.29%

Draw 22.73%

Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.98%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.73% Total : 50.29%