Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de Bouake

Mauritania
1 - 0
Algeria

Dellahi (37')
Mouhsine (21'), Ba (45+4'), Koita (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Amine Amoura (45+4'), Slimani (76'), Belaili (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Mauritania and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Mauritania 2-3 Angola
Saturday, January 20 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	2	1	4
2	Burkina Faso	2	1	4
3	Algeria	2	0	2
4	Mauritania	2	-2	0

Algeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Algeria 2-2 Burkina Faso
Saturday, January 20 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	2	1	4
2	Burkina Faso	2	1	4
3	Algeria	2	0	2
4	Mauritania	2	-2	0

We said: Mauritania 0-2 Algeria

Following a disappointing first two games, Algeria will head into Tuesday's tie looking to pick up a statement result. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing the Desert Foxes to claim a comfortable victory and extend their dominance over Mauritania. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Algeria
26.72% ( -0.44)	26.37% ( 0.2)	46.91% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 49.24% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.17% (

-1.02)

54.82% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.87% (

-0.85)

76.12% (

0.85)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.24% (

-0.91)

35.75% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.47% (

-0.95)

72.53% (

0.94)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64% (

-0.33)

23.36% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67% (

-0.48)

57.32% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 26.72%

Algeria 46.91%

Draw 26.37%

Mauritania	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.72%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.91%