Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 29

Nov 6, 2023 at 6pm UK

Ostgotaporten

Norrkoping
4 - 3
Varbergs

Neffati (70'), Ingvi Traustason (80'), Andri Sigurgeirsson (83'), Sema (90')
Lind (38'), Lund (45+1'), Tolinsson (78'), Riddersholm (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zackrisson (44'), Krasniqi (45+2'), Borchers (51')
Krasniqi (40'), Karlsson (54'), Frigell Jansson (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Norrkoping and Varbergs BoIS.

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Norrkoping

All competitions

Last Game: Norrkoping 0-1 Malmo
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Varbergs BoIS

All competitions

Last Game: Varbergs 1-1 Degerfors
Saturday, October 28 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 70.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-2 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.

Result
IFK Norrkoping	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
70.2% ( 1.25)	17.5% ( -0.21)	12.3% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

-2.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.33% (

-1.73)

37.67% (

1.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.09% (

-1.88)

59.91% (

1.88)

IFK Norrkoping Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.39% (

-0.16)

9.61% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.89% (

-0.38)

32.11% (

0.37)

Varbergs BoIS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.21% (

-2.75)

41.79% (

2.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.75% (

-2.49)

78.25% (

2.49)

Score Analysis

IFK Norrkoping 70.19%

Varbergs BoIS 12.3%

Draw 17.5%

IFK Norrkoping	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.7) 3-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.3) 5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.19) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.08% Total : 70.19%	1-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.5%	1-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.43% Total : 12.3%