MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 03:23:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Independiente

Defensa
2 - 1
Independiente

Duarte (28'), Frias (64' pen.)
Duarte (33'), Gutierrez (51')
Gutierrez (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vigo (90+1')
Marcone (13'), Romero (36'), Pozzo (64'), Rodriguez (62'), Fernandez (72'), Vigo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 2-0 Defensa
Friday, July 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Rosario
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Independiente

There is very little to separate the sides right now, and we expect a tight affair in this one with the teams cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
46.32% (0.604 0.6) 26.82% (0.199 0.2) 26.86% (-0.804 -0.8)
Both teams to score 48.06% (-1.13 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.59% (-1.184 -1.18)56.41% (1.183 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.58% (-0.965 -0.97)77.42% (0.964 0.96)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)24.33% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.326 -0.33)58.71% (0.325 0.33)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5% (-1.296 -1.3)36.5% (1.295 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (-1.331 -1.33)73.29% (1.33 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 46.32%
    Independiente 26.86%
    Draw 26.82%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.282 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.18% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.396 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Defensa vs Independiente

Defensa y Justicia
33.3%
Draw
40.0%
Independiente
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 1.15am
Independiente
0-0
Defensa

Velasco (29'), Manuel Insaurralde (29'), Blanco (82')
Blanco (90+3')

Tripichio (16'), Contreras (26'), Gutierrez (38'), Silva (53'), Soto (57'), Rivero (65')
Apr 18, 2021 10pm
Dec 6, 2020 10.10pm
Zone Two
Independiente
1-0
Defensa
Sonora (3')
Benavidez (24'), Costa (75'), Ignacio Pacchini (83')
Nov 15, 2020 9.45pm
Zone Two
Defensa
0-0
Independiente

Acevedo (39'), Frias (44'), Paredes (89')

Rodriguez (27'), Barboza (37'), Franco (57'), Romero (78')
Jul 28, 2019 9.45pm
Defensa
0-1
Independiente

Herrera (23'), Benitez (25'), Fernandez (26'), Merlini (86'), Piovi (90')
Palacios (33')
Figal (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Second Phase
1Racing ClubRacing321011477
2GimnasiaGimnasia32107257
3TalleresTalleres32105147
4HuracanHuracan32105237
5UnionUnion32104137
6Independiente Rivadavia32103037
7River PlateRiver Plate32016156
8EstudiantesEstudiantes32014226
9Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB32013126
10Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs320145-16
11Rosario CentralRosario31115414
12Boca Juniors31114314
13Instituto31113304
14LanusLanus311134-14
15Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield311134-14
16Barracas Central311123-14
17Atletico TucumanTucuman311123-14
18BelgranoBelgrano311168-24
19Deportivo Riestra310214-33
20IndependienteIndependiente302124-22
21Platense302113-22
22San Lorenzo201112-11
23Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz201101-11
24Sarmiento301224-21
25Defensa y JusticiaDefensa301225-31
26BanfieldBanfield301215-41
27TigreTigre301216-51
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba300339-60
 
First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0


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