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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 16
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
 

Gomel
4 - 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Baga (17'), Pantya (52'), Sedko (54'), Kozlovskiy (84')
Costrov (43'), Makas (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Matsiash (71')
Boudega (60'), Lyakh (90+3')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Gomel and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gomel 1-2 Aris
Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: BATE 1-2 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Friday, July 15 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.

Result
GomelDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
45.76% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08) 27.45% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 26.78% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.23% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.28% (-0.249 -0.25)58.72% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.194 -0.19)79.25% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Gomel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)25.63% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.207 -0.21)60.53% (0.211 0.21)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17% (-0.129 -0.13)37.83% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39% (-0.127 -0.13)74.61% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Gomel 45.76%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26.78%
    Draw 27.45%
GomelDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.76%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.78%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 11am
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-2
Gomel
Kiyko (80')
Khvalko (54')
Gogolashvili (44' pen.), Makas (56')
Kuchinski (22'), Adeola (84')
Sokol (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ10721113823
2Neman10703118321
3Dinamo Minsk105501661020
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest105412281419
5Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr10523159617
6Vitebsk10523128417
7Gomel10442149516
8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1042488014
9IslochIsloch10343129313
10BATE BorisovBATE10334811-312
11Smorgon102531119-811
12SlutskSlutsk10316814-610
13Naftan101541015-58
14Dnepr Mogilev10145411-77
15FC MinskFC Minsk10037618-123
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk10127820-12-15


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