Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 70.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (3.67%).