Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.74%).