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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
30.84% | 23.54% | 45.62% |
Both teams to score 61.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.61% | 40.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.23% | 62.77% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% | 25.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% | 60.13% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.99% | 18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.12% | 48.87% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.37% 1-0 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-1 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 5.26% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.73% Total : 45.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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