Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 20, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
6 - 0
Borussia M'bach

Reus (26', 82'), Malen (32'), Wolf (70'), Moukoko (74'), Can (90+1' pen.)
Zagadou (12'), Dahoud (35')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bensebaini (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Borussia Monchengladbach

With both sides struggling defensively this campaign, we are expecting an open and attacking affair with plenty of goals on Sunday, despite the drab 1-0 scoreline between the sides back in September. Gladbach will fancy their chances at hitting their hosts on the break and netting a couple of goals, but we are predicting for Haaland to return with a heroic performance from the bench to lead his side to a vital three points in the title race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
61.18%	19.51%	19.3%

Both teams to score 62.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.3%

32.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.62%

54.37%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.58%

10.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.03%

33.96%

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02%

29.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.91%

66.08%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 61.18%

Borussia Monchengladbach 19.3%

Draw 19.51%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 7.26% 1-0 @ 7.06% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 4.37% 4-1 @ 4.11% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-2 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 1.86% 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-2 @ 1.12% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.37% Total : 61.18%	1-1 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 3.12% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.51%	1-2 @ 5.12% 0-1 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-2 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.85% Total : 19.3%