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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
27.47% ( 0.32) | 24.63% ( -0.03) | 47.9% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 55.19% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.68% ( 0.34) | 47.32% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.46% ( 0.32) | 69.54% ( -0.31) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.83% ( 0.42) | 31.17% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( 0.49) | 67.51% ( -0.49) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.18% ( 0.01) | 19.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.11% ( 0.02) | 51.89% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.47% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 47.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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