Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Apr 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
0 - 1
RB Leipzig

Lukebakio (31'), Uremovic (45'), Boateng (45+3'), Kanga (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Haidara (39')
Szoboszlai (20'), Haidara (45+3'), Simakan (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-2 RB Leipzig

Despite facing the threat of relegation, Hertha are certainly not a bad side under Schwarz whatsoever, and they can consider themselves slightly unfortunate to be as low in the table as they are based on their performances this season. Their misfortune could continue on Saturday, with Leipzig appearing to put their recent poor league form behind them after comfortably dispatching Dortmund in midweek. We can envisage a narrow away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 0-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
18.89% ( -0.03)	20.73% ( -0.02)	60.37% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.4% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.72% (

0.03)

39.27% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.39% (

0.03)

61.61% (

-0.04)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7% (

-0.02)

34.3% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

-0.02)

71% (

0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.37% (

0.03)

12.63% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.24% (

0.05)

38.76% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 18.89%

RB Leipzig 60.37%

Draw 20.73%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 18.89%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.73%	1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.27% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 60.37%