Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
0 - 2
Mainz 05

Gacinovic (39'), Vogt (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Burkardt (21'), Ingvartsen (77')
Hack (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Mainz 05
49.8%	23.95%	26.26%

Both teams to score 56.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.76%

45.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42%

67.58%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.76%

18.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.73%

49.27%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99%

31.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68%

67.32%

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 49.8%

Mainz 05 26.26%

Draw 23.94%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.8%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.94%	0-1 @ 6.62% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.88% Total : 26.26%