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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
49.96% ( -0) | 24.08% ( 0) | 25.95% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% ( -0) | 46.06% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( -0) | 68.36% ( 0) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.51% ( -0) | 18.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.3% ( -0) | 49.7% ( 0.01) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.31% ( 0) | 31.69% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.89% ( 0) | 68.1% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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