Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 4, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
3 - 0
Wolfsburg

Burkardt (2'), Stach (4'), Lacroix (90' og.)
Barreiro (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mbabu (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Wolfsburg

Based on recent form and quality provided so far this season, there is little to separate these two sides heading into their clash on Saturday. As a result, a tight affair with few goals is being predicted by us, with a low-scoring draw looking likely at the Opel Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Wolfsburg
42.81%	26%	31.19%

Both teams to score 52.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78%

51.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94%

73.06%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24%

23.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.09%

57.9%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.5%

30.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29%

66.71%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 42.81%

Wolfsburg 31.19%

Draw 26%

Mainz 05	Draw	Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.81%	1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.19%