Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Veltins-Arena

Schalke
1 - 6
Union Berlin

Bulter (31' pen.)
Thiaw (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Thorsby (6'), Becker (36', 46'), Haberer (45+3'), Michel (87', 90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-0 Schalke
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Stuttgart	3	-1	2
13	Schalke 04	3	-2	2
14	Wolfsburg	3	-2	2

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Borussia Monchengladbach	3	3	7
4	Union Berlin	3	3	7
5	Mainz 05	3	2	7

We said: Schalke 04 1-2 Union Berlin

With the visitors preferring to play in transition, we can envisage them gaining another victory on Saturday to potentially move top of the table. Schalke have remained competitive in the early weeks of the campaign but could find themselves caught between two stools in front of a demanding home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04	Draw	Union Berlin
35.35% ( 0.03)	24.92% ( -0.01)	39.73% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.87% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.56% (

0.03)

45.44% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.22% (

0.03)

67.78% (

-0.03)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92% (

0.03)

25.08% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.23% (

0.05)

59.77% (

-0.05)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25% (

22.75% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.57% (

56.43% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Schalke 04 35.35%

Union Berlin 39.73%

Draw 24.92%

Schalke 04	Draw	Union Berlin
2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.35%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92%	1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.73%