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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
14.33% ( -2.04) | 15.89% ( -0.49) | 69.77% ( 2.53) |
Both teams to score 65.89% ( -3.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.84% ( -1.98) | 24.15% ( 1.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.19% ( -2.67) | 43.81% ( 2.66) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.33% ( -3.64) | 29.66% ( 3.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.28% ( -4.65) | 65.71% ( 4.65) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.67% ( -0.05) | 6.32% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.22% ( -0.13) | 23.77% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.16% Total : 14.33% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.47% Total : 15.89% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 8% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.89) 0-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.8) 1-4 @ 5.52% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.65) 2-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.37) 0-4 @ 4.54% ( 0.54) 2-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.27) 1-5 @ 3.05% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 2.51% ( 0.29) 2-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.15) 1-6 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.27) 0-6 @ 1.15% ( 0.13) Other @ 4.59% Total : 69.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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