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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
25.39% ( 0.23) | 23.28% ( 0.02) | 51.33% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 57.83% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.03% ( 0.09) | 42.97% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.63% ( 0.09) | 65.37% ( -0.09) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( 0.23) | 30.49% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.3% ( 0.27) | 66.7% ( -0.27) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% ( -0.06) | 16.81% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.22% ( -0.1) | 46.78% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.39% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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