Chengdu Rongcheng were unlucky in their last match, as the early dismissal of their goalkeeper evidently affected their game plan and the outcome of the match. With a full team and against a Henan side that have been very poor on the road this season, we fancy that the hosts will come out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result
Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Henan Songshan Longmen
50.24% ( -0.41)	25.97% ( 0.25)	23.79% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 47.77% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.57% (

-0.79)

55.43% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.37% (

-0.65)

76.63% (

0.66)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

-0.51)

22.12% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.52% (

-0.77)

55.48% (

0.77)

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.34% (

-0.29)

38.66% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.6% (

-0.28)

75.4% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Chengdu Qianbao 50.24%

Henan Songshan Longmen 23.79%

Draw 25.97%

Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Henan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.99% Total : 50.24%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.79%