CONCACAF Nations League | League C

Sep 9, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

British Virgin I.
3 - 1
Turks & Caicos

Caesar (4'), Chalwell (10', 51')
Caesar (45+3'), Forbes (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Forbes (45+4' pen.)
Howell (43'), Cadet (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between British Virgin Islands and Turks and Caicos.

Form, Standings, Stats

British Virgin Islands

All competitions

Last Game: British Virgin I. 1-3 Puerto Rico
Thursday, March 23 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Dominica	0	0	0
2	British Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Turks and Caicos	0	0	0

Turks and Caicos

All competitions

Last Game: Bonaire 1-2 Turks & Caicos
Wednesday, March 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Dominica	0	0	0
2	British Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Turks and Caicos	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a British Virgin Islands win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 38.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a British Virgin Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that British Virgin Islands would win this match.

Result
British Virgin Islands	Draw	Turks and Caicos
38.59% ( 0.37)	23.27% ( -0.09)	38.14% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 64.3% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.79% (

0.47)

37.21% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.58% (

0.51)

59.41% (

-0.51)

British Virgin Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.29% (

0.38)

19.71% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.28% (

0.62)

51.71% (

-0.62)

Turks and Caicos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

0.07)

19.92% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.94% (

0.12)

52.05% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

British Virgin Islands 38.59%

Turks and Caicos 38.14%

Draw 23.27%

British Virgin Islands	Draw	Turks and Caicos
2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.25% Total : 38.59%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.19% Total : 38.14%