Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 31, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Libertad2 - 1Nacional
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Club Libertad 0-0 Nacional
Nacional are already guaranteed a spot in the knockout phase, while it would take a lot for Libertad to miss out on the Sudamericana. With little to play for, we anticipate this will be a cagey affair between two sides that do not want to risk losing a key player to injury. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Nacional |
41.65% ( 0.35) | 26.41% ( 0.11) | 31.95% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
