MX23RW : Wednesday, June 12 16:47:40| >> :60:376:376:
Sao Paulo
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 8, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
4 - 1
Catolica

Luciano (14'), Eder (45+5' pen.), Moreira (59'), Rodriguinho (81')
Eder (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pedro Fuenzalida (88')
Zampedri (69'), Paz (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and Universidad Catolica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Universidad Catolica

Last Six:
    Last Game: Catolica 2-4 Sao Paulo
    Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    We said: Sao Paulo 2-1 Universidad Catolica

     With the deficit they are facing, Universidad have no choice but to take chances to try to claw their way back into this tie. That should allow Sao Paulo to do what they did in the opener, catch the Chileans on the break, a tactic they executed to near perfection last Thursday. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 13.85%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.73%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

    Result
    Sao PauloDrawUniversidad Catolica
    61.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.35% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 13.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
    Both teams to score 36.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    38.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)61.41% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    18.69%81.3% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
    Sao Paulo Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    80.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    48.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
    Universidad Catolica Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    45.89% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)54.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    12.66% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)87.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    Score Analysis
        Sao Paulo 61.78%
        Universidad Catolica 13.85%
        Draw 24.35%
    Sao PauloDrawUniversidad Catolica
    1-0 @ 17.36%
    2-0 @ 14.04%
    2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    3-0 @ 7.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    3-1 @ 4.65%
    4-0 @ 3.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    4-1 @ 1.88%
    3-2 @ 1.43%
    5-0 @ 0.99%
    Other @ 2.17%
    Total : 61.78%
    		0-0 @ 10.73%
    1-1 @ 10.66%
    2-2 @ 2.65%
    Other @ 0.31%
    Total : 24.35%
    		0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    Other @ 1.96%
    Total : 13.85%

    How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Catolica

    Sao Paulo
    88.2%
    Draw
    11.8%
    Universidad Catolica
    0.0%
    17
    Head to Head
    Jul 1, 2022 1.30am
    Catolica
    2-4
    Sao Paulo
    Zampedri (47'), Valencia (85')
    Gonzalez (12'), Zampedri (84')
    Reinaldo (15' pen.), Luciano (28', 39'), Calleri (63')
    Vinicius (23'), Calleri (55'), Anderson (60'), Reinaldo (77'), Luciano (88'), Maia (90+2')
    Vinicius (51'), Nestor (73'), Calleri (87')
    rhs 2.0
    Euro 2024 fixtures header
    Friday, June 14
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Germany
    vs.
    Scotland
    Saturday, June 15
     
    2pm
    Group Stage
    Hungary
    vs.
    Switzerland
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    Spain
    vs.
    Croatia
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Italy
    vs.
    Albania
    Sunday, June 16
     
    2pm
    Group Stage
    Poland
    vs.
    Netherlands
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    Slovenia
    vs.
    Denmark
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Serbia
    vs.
    England
    Monday, June 17
     
    2pm
    Group Stage
    Romania
    vs.
    Ukraine
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    Belgium
    vs.
    Slovakia
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Austria
    vs.
    France
    Tuesday, June 18
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    Turkey
    vs.
    Georgia
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Portugal
    vs.
    Czech Republic
    Wednesday, June 19
     
    2pm
    Group Stage
    Croatia
    vs.
    Albania
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    Germany
    vs.
    Hungary
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Scotland
    vs.
    Switzerland
    Thursday, June 20
     
    2pm
    Group Stage
    Slovenia
    vs.
    Serbia
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    Denmark
    vs.
    England
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Spain
    vs.
    Italy
    Friday, June 21
     
    2pm
    Group Stage
    Slovakia
    vs.
    Ukraine
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    Poland
    vs.
    Austria
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Netherlands
    vs.
    France
    Saturday, June 22
     
    2pm
    Group Stage
    Georgia
    vs.
    Czech Republic
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    Turkey
    vs.
    Portugal
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Belgium
    vs.
    Romania
    Sunday, June 23
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Scotland
    vs.
    Hungary
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Switzerland
    vs.
    Germany
    Monday, June 24
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Albania
    vs.
    Spain
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Croatia
    vs.
    Italy
    Tuesday, June 25
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    France
    vs.
    Poland
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    Netherlands
    vs.
    Austria
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Denmark
    vs.
    Serbia
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    England
    vs.
    Slovenia
    Wednesday, June 26
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    Slovakia
    vs.
    Romania
     
    5pm
    Group Stage
    Ukraine
    vs.
    Belgium
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Czech Republic
    vs.
    Turkey
     
    8pm
    Group Stage
    Georgia
    vs.
    Portugal
    Saturday, June 29
     
    5pm
    Round of 16
    2nd Group A
    vs.
    2nd Group B
     
    8pm
    Round of 16
    1st Group A
    vs.
    2nd Group C
    Sunday, June 30
     
    5pm
    Round of 16
    1st Group C
    vs.
    3rd Group D/E/F
     
    8pm
    Round of 16
    1st Group B
    vs.
    3rd Group A/D/E/F
    Monday, July 1
     
    5pm
    Round of 16
    2nd Group D
    vs.
    2nd Group E
     
    8pm
    Round of 16
    1st Group F
    vs.
    3rd Group A/B/C
    Tuesday, July 2
     
    5pm
    Round of 16
    1st Group E
    vs.
    3rd Group A/B/C/D
     
    8pm
    Round of 16
    1st Group D
    vs.
    2nd Group F
    Friday, July 5
     
    5pm
    Quarter-Finals
    Winner Match 39
    vs.
    Winner Match 37
     
    8pm
    Quarter-Finals
    Winner Match 41
    vs.
    Winner Match 42
    Saturday, July 6
     
    5pm
    Quarter-Finals
    Winner Match 40
    vs.
    Winner Match 38
     
    8pm
    Quarter-Finals
    Winner Match 43
    vs.
    Winner Match 44
    > View full version> Results
    Tables header RHS

    Group A

    TeamPWDLPTS
    1 Germany Germany00000
    2 Hungary Hungary00000
    3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
    4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

    Group B

    TeamPWDLPTS
    1 Albania national flag Albania00000
    2 Croatia Croatia00000
    3 Italy Italy00000
    4 Spain Spain00000

    Group C

    TeamPWDLPTS
    1 Denmark Denmark00000
    2 England flag England00000
    3 Serbia Serbia00000
    4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

    Group D

    TeamPWDLPTS
    1 Austria Austria00000
    2 France France00000
    3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
    4 Poland Poland00000

    Group E

    TeamPWDLPTS
    1 Belgium Belgium00000
    2 Romania Romania00000
    3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
    4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

    Group F

    TeamPWDLPTS
    1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
    2 Georgia Georgia00000
    3 Portugal Portugal00000
    4 Turkey Turkey00000
    > European Championship 2024 overview


    Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
    Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!